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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31 · Germany

Hamburger SV v 1899 Hoffenheim

1-2Full time· Volksparkstadion, Hamburg· Referee: Robert Schröder, Germany

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Hamburger SV v 1899 Hoffenheim: the model read

Hamburger SV meet 1899 Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga regular season - 31 at Volksparkstadion, Hamburg.

The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans 1899 Hoffenheim, 53% against 43%. Attacking output favors 1899 Hoffenheim on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 78%, over 2.5 goals around 82%. Draw no bet leans 1899 Hoffenheim at 54%; double chance reads Hamburger SV or draw 61%, 1899 Hoffenheim or draw 67%.

Hamburger SV arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Borussia Dortmund, W 3-0 @ Verl, W 2-1 @ Toulouse, D 2-2 v Lille.

1899 Hoffenheim are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ 1. FC Köln, W 4-0 @ Erzgebirge Aue, D 2-2 @ Tottenham, L 0-3 @ Tottenham.

1899 Hoffenheim hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Hamburger SV 1-2 1899 Hoffenheim.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Hamburger SV

LDWWL6-5-9

Scored 1.45 · Conceded 1.70 · Clean sheets 5% · BTTS 80%

  • LABorussia Dortmund0-2
  • WAVerl3-0
  • WAToulouse2-1
  • DHLille2-2
  • LHEverton1-2

1899 Hoffenheim

WLDWL8-5-7

Scored 1.90 · Conceded 1.90 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 60%

  • LA1. FC Köln2-3
  • WAErzgebirge Aue4-0
  • DATottenham2-2
  • LATottenham0-3
  • WHKarlsruher SC3-0

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Hamburger SVrecord1899 Hoffenheim
3
5
2 draws

Goals

12-18

for each

Avg goals

3.0

per game

BTTS

60%

both scored

Over 2.5

70%

3+ goals

Hamburger SV

Recent
LLLWWD
Wins 3Goals 12-18

Biggest win 3-0

1899 Hoffenheim

Recent
WWWLLD
Wins 5Goals 18-12

Biggest win 4-1

  • Hamburger SV1-21899 Hoffenheim
  • 1899 Hoffenheim4-1Hamburger SV
  • 1899 Hoffenheim2-0Hamburger SV
  • Hamburger SV3-01899 Hoffenheim
  • Hamburger SV2-11899 Hoffenheim
  • 1899 Hoffenheim2-2Hamburger SV
  • Hamburger SV1-31899 Hoffenheim
  • 1899 Hoffenheim0-1Hamburger SV
  • 1899 Hoffenheim3-0Hamburger SV
  • Hamburger SV1-11899 Hoffenheim

Managers

M. Polzin

Germany · 35

In charge since 2024

  • Hamburg2024–2024

C. Ilzer

Austria · 48

In charge since 2024 · 6 teams managed

  • Sturm Graz2020–2024
  • Austria Vienna2019–2020
  • Wolfsberger AC2018–2019
  • Hartberg2017–2018

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.