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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 28 · Germany

Hamburger SV v FC Augsburg

1-1Full time· Volksparkstadion, Hamburg· Referee: Deniz Aytekin, Germany

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Hamburger SV v FC Augsburg: the model read

Hamburger SV meet FC Augsburg in the Bundesliga regular season - 28 at Volksparkstadion, Hamburg.

FC Augsburg rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1581 to 1454. Recent form leans FC Augsburg, 60% against 43%. Attacking output favors FC Augsburg on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 79%, over 2.5 goals around 86%. Draw no bet leans FC Augsburg at 61%; double chance reads Hamburger SV or draw 55%, FC Augsburg or draw 72%.

Hamburger SV arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Borussia Dortmund, W 3-0 @ Verl, W 2-1 @ Toulouse, D 2-2 v Lille.

FC Augsburg are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 23 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v FC Schalke 04, W 2-0 @ Energie Cottbus, L 0-4 @ Leeds, W 3-2 v Sassuolo.

The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Hamburger SV 1-1 FC Augsburg.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Hamburger SV

LDWWL6-5-9

Scored 1.45 · Conceded 1.70 · Clean sheets 5% · BTTS 80%

  • LABorussia Dortmund0-2
  • WAVerl3-0
  • WAToulouse2-1
  • DHLille2-2
  • LHEverton1-2

FC Augsburg

WWLWW10-4-6

Scored 2.35 · Conceded 1.70 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 60%

  • WHFC Schalke 043-0
  • WAEnergie Cottbus2-0
  • LALeeds0-4
  • WHSassuolo3-2
  • WASchwaz15-0

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Hamburger SVrecordFC Augsburg
4
4
2 draws

Goals

11-13

for each

Avg goals

2.4

per game

BTTS

40%

both scored

Over 2.5

40%

3+ goals

Hamburger SV

Recent
DLDLWL
Wins 4Goals 11-13

Biggest win 3-1

FC Augsburg

Recent
DWDWLW
Wins 4Goals 13-11

Biggest win 4-0

  • Hamburger SV1-1FC Augsburg
  • FC Augsburg1-0Hamburger SV
  • FC Augsburg2-2Hamburger SV
  • FC Augsburg1-0Hamburger SV
  • Hamburger SV1-0FC Augsburg
  • FC Augsburg4-0Hamburger SV
  • Hamburger SV1-0FC Augsburg
  • FC Augsburg1-3Hamburger SV
  • Hamburger SV0-1FC Augsburg
  • Hamburger SV3-2FC Augsburg

Managers

M. Polzin

Germany · 35

In charge since 2024

  • Hamburg2024–2024

Manuel Baum

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.