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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 25 · Germany

FSV Mainz 05 v VfB Stuttgart

2-2Full time· Mewa Arena, Mainz· Referee: Matthias Jollenbeck, Germany

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Match analysisPre-match brief

FSV Mainz 05 v VfB Stuttgart: the model read

FSV Mainz 05 meet VfB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga regular season - 25 at Mewa Arena, Mainz.

The baseline ratings are close, 1673 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans FSV Mainz 05, 73% against 60%. Attacking output favors FSV Mainz 05 on expected goals, 3.3 to 2.8 per match.

FSV Mainz 05 arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 20 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 @ Hamburger SV, D 0-0 v SC Paderborn 07, W 9-0 @ Krieschow, W 2-1 v Bournemouth.

VfB Stuttgart are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 12 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v 1. FC Köln, L 1-5 @ Bayern München, W 4-0 @ Hansa Rostock, L 0-1 @ Fulham.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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FSV Mainz 05

WWWDW13-3-4

Scored 3.25 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 40%

  • WAHamburger SV5-0
  • DHSC Paderborn 070-0
  • WAKrieschow9-0
  • WHBournemouth2-1
  • WHParis FC4-0

VfB Stuttgart

WLWLW10-4-6

Scored 2.80 · Conceded 1.60 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 60%

  • WH1. FC Köln4-1
  • LABayern München1-5
  • WAHansa Rostock4-0
  • LAFulham0-1
  • WHEverton3-1

Managers

U. Fischer

Switzerland · 59

In charge since 2025 · 5 teams managed

  • Union Berlin2018–2023
  • Basel2015–2017
  • Thun2013–2015
  • Zürich2010–2012

S. Hoeneb

Germany · 43

In charge since 2023 · 4 teams managed

  • Hoffenheim2020–2022
  • Bayern München II2019–2020
  • Bayern München U192017–2019

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.