FSV Mainz 05 v VfB Stuttgart: the model read
FSV Mainz 05 meet VfB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga regular season - 25 at Mewa Arena, Mainz. The model makes FSV Mainz 05 the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 40% FSV, 27% draw, 33% VFB.
The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 57%. Attacking output favors FSV Mainz 05 on expected goals, 2.4 to 2.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 84%, over 2.5 goals around 88%. Draw no bet leans FSV Mainz 05 at 55%; double chance reads FSV Mainz 05 or draw 67%, VfB Stuttgart or draw 60%.
FSV Mainz 05 arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 28 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v 1. FC Kaiserslautern, W 10-0 @ Eisbachtal, W 11-0 @ Pfeddersheim, W 2-0 @ 1. FC Heidenheim.
VfB Stuttgart are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 15 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 7-0 @ Balingen, L 0-3 @ Bayern München, D 2-2 @ Eintracht Frankfurt, W 3-1 v Bayer Leverkusen.
VfB Stuttgart hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FSV Mainz 05 2-2 VfB Stuttgart.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
