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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 23 · Germany

FSV Mainz 05 v Hamburger SV

1-1Full time· Mewa Arena, Mainz· Referee: Robin Braun, Germany

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FSV Mainz 05 v Hamburger SV: the model read

FSV Mainz 05 meet Hamburger SV in the Bundesliga regular season - 23 at Mewa Arena, Mainz.

FSV Mainz 05 rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1443. Recent form leans FSV Mainz 05, 73% against 40%. Attacking output favors FSV Mainz 05 on expected goals, 3.3 to 1.4 per match.

FSV Mainz 05 arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 20 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 @ Hamburger SV, D 0-0 v SC Paderborn 07, W 9-0 @ Krieschow, W 2-1 v Bournemouth.

Hamburger SV are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-5 v FSV Mainz 05, L 0-2 @ Borussia Dortmund, W 3-0 @ Verl, W 2-1 @ Toulouse.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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FSV Mainz 05

WWWDW13-3-4

Scored 3.25 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 40%

  • WAHamburger SV5-0
  • DHSC Paderborn 070-0
  • WAKrieschow9-0
  • WHBournemouth2-1
  • WHParis FC4-0

Hamburger SV

DWWLL6-4-10

Scored 1.40 · Conceded 1.90 · Clean sheets 5% · BTTS 75%

  • LHFSV Mainz 050-5
  • LABorussia Dortmund0-2
  • WAVerl3-0
  • WAToulouse2-1
  • DHLille2-2

Managers

U. Fischer

Switzerland · 59

In charge since 2025 · 5 teams managed

  • Union Berlin2018–2023
  • Basel2015–2017
  • Thun2013–2015
  • Zürich2010–2012

M. Polzin

Germany · 35

In charge since 2024

  • Hamburg2024–2024

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.