FSV Mainz 05 v FC Augsburg: the model read
FSV Mainz 05 meet FC Augsburg in the Bundesliga regular season - 21 at Mewa Arena, Mainz. The model makes FSV Mainz 05 the most likely outcome at 48%, with the full read 48% FSV, 26% draw, 25% FC .
The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 55%. Attacking output favors FSV Mainz 05 on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 69%, over 2.5 goals around 81%. Draw no bet leans FSV Mainz 05 at 65%; double chance reads FSV Mainz 05 or draw 75%, FC Augsburg or draw 52%.
FSV Mainz 05 arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 28 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v 1. FC Kaiserslautern, W 10-0 @ Eisbachtal, W 11-0 @ Pfeddersheim, W 2-0 @ 1. FC Heidenheim.
FC Augsburg are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Union Berlin, W 3-1 v Borussia Mönchengladbach, W 3-1 @ Werder Bremen, D 1-1 v Eintracht Frankfurt.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
