FSV Mainz 05 v VfL Wolfsburg: the model read
FSV Mainz 05 meet VfL Wolfsburg in the Bundesliga regular season - 19 at Mewa Arena, Mainz. The model makes FSV Mainz 05 the most likely outcome at 51%, with the full read 51% FSV, 26% draw, 24% VFL.
FSV Mainz 05 rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1400. Recent form leans FSV Mainz 05, 63% against 33%. Attacking output favors FSV Mainz 05 on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 69%, over 2.5 goals around 84%. Draw no bet leans FSV Mainz 05 at 68%; double chance reads FSV Mainz 05 or draw 76%, VfL Wolfsburg or draw 49%.
FSV Mainz 05 arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 28 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v 1. FC Kaiserslautern, W 10-0 @ Eisbachtal, W 11-0 @ Pfeddersheim, W 2-0 @ 1. FC Heidenheim.
VfL Wolfsburg are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 15 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Verl, W 8-2 @ Schöningen, L 1-2 @ SC Paderborn 07, D 0-0 v SC Paderborn 07.
VfL Wolfsburg hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FSV Mainz 05 3-1 VfL Wolfsburg.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
