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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 28 · France

Strasbourg v Nice

3-1Full time· Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg· Referee: T. Leonard

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Strasbourg v Nice: the model read

Strasbourg meet Nice in the Ligue 1 regular season - 28 at Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg. The model makes Strasbourg the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% STR, 31% draw, 33% NIC.

The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Strasbourg, 53% against 43%. Attacking output favors Strasbourg on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 53%, over 2.5 goals around 49%. Draw no bet leans Strasbourg at 52%; double chance reads Strasbourg or draw 67%, Nice or draw 64%.

Strasbourg arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 0-7 @ Sporting CP, W 5-4 v Monaco, W 2-1 @ Stade Brestois 29, D 1-1 @ Angers.

Nice are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Nimes, W 4-1 v Saint Etienne, D 0-0 @ Saint Etienne, L 1-3 @ Lens.

Nice hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Strasbourg 0-2 Nice.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Strasbourg

LDWWL8-5-7

Scored 1.40 · Conceded 1.65 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 55%

  • LASporting CP0-7
  • WHMonaco5-4
  • WAStade Brestois 292-1
  • DAAngers1-1
  • LHRayo Vallecano0-1

Nice

DLDWW4-9-7

Scored 1.05 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 40%

  • WHNimes4-0
  • WHSaint Etienne4-1
  • DASaint Etienne0-0
  • LALens1-3
  • DHMetz0-0

Head-to-head

10 meetings

StrasbourgrecordNice
2
4
4 draws

Goals

11-14

for each

Avg goals

2.5

per game

BTTS

60%

both scored

Over 2.5

40%

3+ goals

Strasbourg

Recent
LWDDLL
Wins 2Goals 11-14

Biggest win 3-1

Nice

Recent
WLDDWW
Wins 4Goals 14-11

Biggest win 2-0

  • Strasbourg0-2Nice
  • Strasbourg3-1Nice
  • Nice1-1Strasbourg
  • Strasbourg2-2Nice
  • Nice2-1Strasbourg
  • Strasbourg1-3Nice
  • Nice2-0Strasbourg
  • Strasbourg2-0Nice
  • Nice1-1Strasbourg
  • Strasbourg0-0Nice

Managers

L. Rosenior

England · 41

In charge since 2024 · 3 clubs managed

  • Hull City2022–2024
  • Derby County2022–2022

Claude Puel

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.