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CONCACAF Gold Cup · Quarter-finals · World

Panama v Honduras

1-1Full time· State Farm Stadium, Glendale, Arizona· Referee: Katia Itzel García

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Panama v Honduras: the model read

Panama meet Honduras in the CONCACAF Gold Cup quarter-finals at State Farm Stadium, Glendale, Arizona.

The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 57%. Attacking output favors Panama on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.3 per match.

Panama arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v England, L 0-1 v Croatia, L 0-1 @ Ghana, D 1-1 v Bosnia & Herzegovina.

Honduras are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Argentina, D 2-2 @ Peru, D 0-0 @ Costa Rica, L 0-2 @ Nicaragua.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Panama

WDLLL8-7-5

Scored 1.55 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 60%

  • LHEngland0-2
  • LHCroatia0-1
  • LAGhana0-1
  • DHBosnia & Herzegovina1-1
  • WHDominican Republic4-2

Honduras

WLDDL9-5-6

Scored 1.25 · Conceded 1.20 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 25%

  • LAArgentina0-2
  • DAPeru2-2
  • DACosta Rica0-0
  • LANicaragua0-2
  • WHHaiti3-0

Managers

Thomas Christiansen

Spain · 52

In charge since 2020 · 5 teams managed

  • Union Saint-Gilloise2019–2020
  • Leeds United2017–2018
  • APOEL2016–2017
  • AEK Larnaca2014–2016

F. Molina

Mexico

In charge since 2024 · 2 teams managed

  • St. Kitts and Nevis2024–2024

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.