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Emperor Cup · 3rd Round · Japan

Kashima v V-varen Nagasaki

2-1Full time· PEACE STADIUM Connected by SoftBank, Nagasaki· Referee: Koei Koya

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Kashima v V-varen Nagasaki: the model read

Kashima meet V-varen Nagasaki in the Emperor Cup 3rd round at PEACE STADIUM Connected by SoftBank, Nagasaki.

Kashima rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1431. Recent form leans Kashima, 73% against 38%. Attacking output favors Kashima on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.3 per match.

Kashima arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Urawa, L 2-4 @ Mito Hollyhock, W 2-0 @ Tokyo Verdy, W 3-0 v Suzuka Unlimited.

V-varen Nagasaki are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 8 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Vissel Kobe, D 2-2 v Gamba Osaka, L 0-3 v FC Tokyo, W 3-2 v Ehime FC.

Kashima hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 0 across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Kashima 2-1 V-varen Nagasaki.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Kashima

WWWLL13-3-4

Scored 1.85 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 40%

  • LHUrawa0-1
  • LAMito Hollyhock2-4
  • WATokyo Verdy2-0
  • WHSuzuka Unlimited3-0
  • WHAvispa Fukuoka3-2

V-varen Nagasaki

LWLDL6-3-11

Scored 1.25 · Conceded 1.80 · Clean sheets 10% · BTTS 65%

  • LAVissel Kobe1-3
  • DHGamba Osaka2-2
  • LHFC Tokyo0-3
  • WHEhime FC3-2
  • LAKashiwa Reysol2-4

Head-to-head

5 meetings

KashimarecordV-varen Nagasaki
5
0
0 draws

Goals

12-6

for each

Avg goals

3.6

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

Kashima

Recent
WWWWW
Wins 5Goals 12-6

Biggest win 3-1

V-varen Nagasaki

Recent
LLLLL
Wins 0Goals 6-12
  • Kashima2-1V-varen Nagasaki
  • Kashima3-1V-varen Nagasaki
  • Kashima3-2V-varen Nagasaki
  • V-varen Nagasaki1-2Kashima
  • Kashima2-1V-varen Nagasaki

Managers

T. Oniki

Japan · 51

In charge since 2025 · 2 teams managed

  • Kawasaki Frontale2017–2025

Takuya Takagi

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.