Roda v Willem II: the model read
Roda meet Willem II in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 35 at Parkstad Limburg Stadion, Kerkrade. The model makes Willem II the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 29% ROD, 31% draw, 40% WIL.
Willem II rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1662 to 1512. Recent form leans Willem II, 71% against 53%. Attacking output favors Willem II on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 48%, over 2.5 goals around 46%. Draw no bet leans Willem II at 58%; double chance reads Roda or draw 60%, Willem II or draw 71%.
Roda arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 14 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Beerschot VA, L 1-2 @ Cambuur, D 1-1 @ Vitesse, W 10-0 @ Chevremont.
Willem II are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v FC Eindhoven, L 1-2 v Quick Boys, W 2-1 @ FC Volendam, L 1-2 v FC Volendam.
Willem II hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Roda 0-1 Willem II.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
