Willem II v De Graafschap: the model read
Willem II meet De Graafschap in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 33 at Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg. The model makes Willem II the most likely outcome at 47%, with the full read 47% WIL, 27% draw, 26% DE .
Willem II rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1662 to 1523. Recent form leans Willem II, 71% against 53%. Attacking output favors De Graafschap on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 63%, over 2.5 goals around 73%. Draw no bet leans Willem II at 64%; double chance reads Willem II or draw 74%, De Graafschap or draw 53%.
Willem II arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v FC Eindhoven, L 1-2 v Quick Boys, W 2-1 @ FC Volendam, L 1-2 v FC Volendam.
De Graafschap are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 10 scored and 18 conceded. Recent results: L 3-6 v Telstar, L 1-2 v AEK Athens FC, L 2-7 @ Heerenveen, W 2-1 @ Utrecht.
Willem II hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Willem II 0-2 De Graafschap.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
