NAC Breda v FC Volendam: the model read
NAC Breda meet FC Volendam in the Eredivisie regular season - 24 at Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda. The model makes FC Volendam the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 32% NAC, 30% draw, 38% FC .
The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 38% against 40%. Attacking output favors FC Volendam on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 59%, over 2.5 goals around 58%. Draw no bet leans FC Volendam at 55%; double chance reads NAC Breda or draw 62%, FC Volendam or draw 68%.
NAC Breda arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Excelsior, W 2-1 @ Hoek, L 0-2 v FC Eindhoven, D 3-3 @ AZ Alkmaar.
FC Volendam are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 8 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Waalwijk, L 1-2 @ Almere City FC, L 1-3 @ Jong AZ, W 3-2 @ RKAV Volendam.
FC Volendam hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: NAC Breda 1-0 FC Volendam.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
