Toledo v Aruko Sports: the model read
Toledo meet Aruko Sports in the Paranaense - 2 quarter-finals at Estádio Municipal 14 de Dezembro, Toledo, Paraná. The model makes Aruko Sports the most likely outcome at 55%, with the full read 19% TOL, 26% draw, 55% ARU.
Aruko Sports rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1569 to 1408. Recent form leans Aruko Sports, 57% against 38%. Attacking output favors Aruko Sports on expected goals, 2.0 to 0.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 42%, over 2.5 goals around 70%. Draw no bet leans Aruko Sports at 74%; double chance reads Toledo or draw 45%, Aruko Sports or draw 81%.
Toledo arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 2 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-6 @ Parana, L 0-2 v Parana, W 1-0 @ Paranavaí, D 0-0 v Rio Branco PR.
Aruko Sports are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 2 scored and 17 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Maringá, L 0-5 v Maringá, L 1-4 @ Atletico Paranaense, L 1-4 v Maringá.
Aruko Sports hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Aruko Sports 7-0 Toledo.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
