South Africa v Mozambique: the model read
South Africa meet Mozambique in the Friendlies friendlies 1 at Peter Mokaba Stadium, Polokwane.
South Africa rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1523 to 1400. Recent form leans South Africa, 55% against 32%. Attacking output favors South Africa on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 37%, over 2.5 goals around 45%. Draw no bet leans South Africa at 67%; double chance reads South Africa or draw 77%, Mozambique or draw 53%.
South Africa arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Canada, W 1-0 v South Korea, D 1-1 @ Czechia, L 0-2 @ Mexico.
Mozambique are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 5 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Indonesia, L 1-4 @ Oman, L 0-4 @ Nigeria, L 1-2 v Cameroon.
South Africa hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: South Africa 2-0 Mozambique.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
