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Friendlies · Friendlies 1 · World

South Africa v Mozambique

2-0Full time· Peter Mokaba Stadium, Polokwane· Referee: Keabetswe Dintwa

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Match analysisPre-match brief

South Africa v Mozambique: the model read

South Africa meet Mozambique in the Friendlies friendlies 1 at Peter Mokaba Stadium, Polokwane.

South Africa rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1523 to 1400. Recent form leans South Africa, 55% against 32%. Attacking output favors South Africa on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 37%, over 2.5 goals around 45%. Draw no bet leans South Africa at 67%; double chance reads South Africa or draw 77%, Mozambique or draw 53%.

South Africa arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Canada, W 1-0 v South Korea, D 1-1 @ Czechia, L 0-2 @ Mexico.

Mozambique are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 5 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Indonesia, L 1-4 @ Oman, L 0-4 @ Nigeria, L 1-2 v Cameroon.

South Africa hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: South Africa 2-0 Mozambique.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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South Africa

DLDWL7-8-5

Scored 1.25 · Conceded 0.95 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 50%

  • LHCanada0-1
  • WHSouth Korea1-0
  • DACzechia1-1
  • LAMexico0-2
  • DAJamaica1-1

Mozambique

WLLLL5-2-12

Scored 0.89 · Conceded 1.95 · Clean sheets 21.1% · BTTS 42.1%

  • LAIndonesia0-1
  • LAOman1-4
  • LANigeria0-4
  • LHCameroon1-2
  • WAGabon3-2

Head-to-head

7 meetings

South AfricarecordMozambique
4
1
2 draws

Goals

11-4

for each

Avg goals

2.1

per game

BTTS

43%

both scored

Over 2.5

43%

3+ goals

South Africa

Recent
WLDWDW
Wins 4Goals 11-4

Biggest win 3-0

Mozambique

Recent
LWDLDL
Wins 1Goals 4-11

Biggest win 1-0

  • South Africa2-0Mozambique
  • South Africa0-1Mozambique
  • South Africa1-1Mozambique
  • South Africa2-1Mozambique
  • South Africa0-0Mozambique
  • South Africa3-0Mozambique
  • South Africa3-1Mozambique

Managers

H. Broos

Belgium · 73

In charge since 2026 · 8 teams managed

  • South Africa2022–2025
  • South Africa2021–2022
  • South Africa2021–2021
  • KV Oostende2019–2019

Victor Matine

Mozambique · 59

In charge since 2023

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.