Sao Bento v Rio Branco SP: the model read
Sao Bento meet Rio Branco SP in the Copa Paulista 1st round - 8 at Estádio Municipal Walter Ribeiro, Sorocaba. The model makes Rio Branco SP the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 31% SAO, 33% draw, 35% RIO.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1408, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Rio Branco SP, 38% against 25%. Attacking output favors Rio Branco SP on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 35%, over 2.5 goals around 27%. Draw no bet leans Rio Branco SP at 53%; double chance reads Sao Bento or draw 65%, Rio Branco SP or draw 69%.
Sao Bento arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 @ Santo André, L 2-3 v Taubaté, W 1-0 v Linense, D 0-0 @ Juventus.
Rio Branco SP are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Bandeirante SP, W 2-1 @ USAC, W 3-2 v Itapirense, L 0-2 v Marília.
Sao Bento hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Sao Bento 2-2 Rio Branco SP.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
