Sao Bento v Paulista: the model read
Sao Bento meet Paulista in the Copa Paulista 1st round - 7 at Estádio Municipal Walter Ribeiro, Sorocaba. The model makes Paulista the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 23% SAO, 32% draw, 45% PAU.
Paulista rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1558 to 1400. Recent form leans Paulista, 57% against 25%. Attacking output favors Paulista on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 26%, over 2.5 goals around 29%. Draw no bet leans Paulista at 66%; double chance reads Sao Bento or draw 55%, Paulista or draw 77%.
Sao Bento arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 @ Santo André, L 2-3 v Taubaté, W 1-0 v Linense, D 0-0 @ Juventus.
Paulista are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 9 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Primavera SP, L 0-1 @ Portuguesa Santista, W 2-1 v Portuguesa Santista, W 3-1 @ Catanduva.
Paulista hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Sao Bento 0-2 Paulista.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
