San Martin S.J. v Sarmiento Junin: the model read
San Martin S.J. meet Sarmiento Junin in the Liga Profesional Argentina 2nd phase - 4 at Estadio Ingeniero Hilario Sánchez, San Juan. The model makes San Martin S.J. the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 35% SAN, 35% draw, 30% SAR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1483 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 47% against 45%. Attacking output favors San Martin S.J. on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 25%, over 2.5 goals around 17%. Draw no bet leans San Martin S.J. at 54%; double chance reads San Martin S.J. or draw 70%, Sarmiento Junin or draw 65%.
San Martin S.J. arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Club Atlético Güemes, L 0-1 v Chacarita Juniors, W 2-0 v Agropecuario, L 1-2 @ Gimnasia Jujuy.
Sarmiento Junin are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Boca Juniors, L 0-4 @ Belgrano Cordoba, W 1-0 v Tigre, L 1-2 @ Rosario Central.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: San Martin S.J. 0-1 Sarmiento Junin.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
