Esteghlal FC v Sanat Naft: the model read
Esteghlal FC meet Sanat Naft in the Hazfi Cup semi-finals at Azadi Stadium, Teheran. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 31% EST, 36% draw, 33% SAN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1582 to 1589, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 62% against 63%. Attacking output favors Sanat Naft on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 21%, over 2.5 goals around 13%. Draw no bet leans Sanat Naft at 51%; double chance reads Esteghlal FC or draw 67%, Sanat Naft or draw 69%.
Esteghlal FC arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Fajr Sepasi, W 1-0 @ Mes Rafsanjan, L 2-3 @ Al Hussein, L 0-1 v Al Hussein.
Sanat Naft are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 8 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Niroye Zamini, W 1-0 v Mes Kerman, W 4-1 @ Navad Urmia, D 0-0 @ Naft Bandar Abbas.
Esteghlal FC hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Esteghlal FC 2-0 Sanat Naft.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
