Deportivo Cuenca Juniors v Atlético Vinotinto: the model read
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors meet Atlético Vinotinto in the Copa Ecuador 1st round at Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar Banco del Austro, Cuenca. The model makes Atlético Vinotinto the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 27% DEP, 32% draw, 40% ATL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 57%. Attacking output favors Atlético Vinotinto on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 34%, over 2.5 goals around 31%. Draw no bet leans Atlético Vinotinto at 60%; double chance reads Deportivo Cuenca Juniors or draw 60%, Atlético Vinotinto or draw 73%.
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 3 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Atletico FC, W 1-0 @ Santo Domingo, W 1-0 v LDU Portoviejo, W 1-0 v San Antonio.
Atlético Vinotinto are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts), 8 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v 22 de Julio, D 0-0 @ Cumbayá, W 4-0 v Chacaritas, D 1-1 v Imbabura.
Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2025: Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 2-2 Atlético Vinotinto.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
