Mineros v Gualaceo SC: the model read
Mineros meet Gualaceo SC in the Copa Ecuador 1st round at Estadio 7 de Octubre, Quevedo. The model makes Gualaceo SC the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 24% MIN, 31% draw, 44% GUA.
Gualaceo SC rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1558 to 1400. Recent form leans Gualaceo SC, 60% against 25%. Attacking output favors Mineros on expected goals, 1.5 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 33%, over 2.5 goals around 36%. Draw no bet leans Gualaceo SC at 65%; double chance reads Mineros or draw 56%, Gualaceo SC or draw 76%.
Mineros arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-1L from their last five (1/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Gualaceo SC, D 3-3 v Cuniburo.
Gualaceo SC are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 3 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Macara, D 0-0 @ El Nacional, L 0-1 v 22 de Julio, D 0-0 @ 9 de Octubre.
Gualaceo SC hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Mineros 0-2 Gualaceo SC.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
