Fiorentina v Real Betis: the model read
Fiorentina meet Real Betis in the UEFA Europa Conference League semi-finals at Stadio Artemio Franchi, Firenze. The model makes Fiorentina the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 35% FIO, 30% draw, 34% REA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 53%. Attacking output favors Fiorentina on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 57%, over 2.5 goals around 54%. Draw no bet leans Fiorentina at 51%; double chance reads Fiorentina or draw 66%, Real Betis or draw 65%.
Fiorentina arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 14 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ QPR, W 1-0 v Gubbio, W 8-1 v Fiorentina U20, D 1-1 v Atalanta.
Real Betis are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Granada CF, W 1-0 @ Recreativo Huelva, W 3-0 @ Sportfreunde Lotte, W 2-1 v Levante.
Real Betis hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Fiorentina 2-2 Real Betis.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
