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Cup · Regions Path - Semi-finals - 2nd Round · Russia

Spartak Moscow v Dynamo

2-1Full time· Lukoil Arena, Moskva· Referee: P. Kukuian

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Spartak Moscow v Dynamo: the model read

Spartak Moscow meet Dynamo in the Cup regions path - semi-finals - 2nd round at Lukoil Arena, Moskva.

The baseline ratings are close, 1627 to 1650, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 68% against 69%. Attacking output favors Dynamo on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.6 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 52%, over 2.5 goals around 48%. Draw no bet leans Dynamo at 53%; double chance reads Spartak Moscow or draw 63%, Dynamo or draw 67%.

Spartak Moscow arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 11 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Zenit, D 1-1 @ Rubin, W 2-1 @ Baltika, L 1-2 v FC Krasnodar.

Dynamo are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Lokomotiv, W 3-1 v Rodina Moskva, L 0-1 v FC Krasnodar, L 0-3 @ Zenit.

Spartak Moscow hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Spartak Moscow 1-0 Dynamo.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Spartak Moscow

WLWDW11-5-4

Scored 1.60 · Conceded 0.95 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 65%

  • WHZenit2-0
  • DARubin1-1
  • WABaltika2-1
  • LHFC Krasnodar1-2
  • WHFC Orenburg5-1

Dynamo

WLLWW11-3-4

Scored 1.89 · Conceded 0.94 · Clean sheets 33.3% · BTTS 50%

  • WALokomotiv1-0
  • WHRodina Moskva3-1
  • LHFC Krasnodar0-1
  • LAZenit0-3
  • WHDinamo Makhachkala3-1

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Spartak MoscowrecordDynamo
5
2
3 draws

Goals

17-15

for each

Avg goals

3.2

per game

BTTS

60%

both scored

Over 2.5

60%

3+ goals

Spartak Moscow

Recent
WLDDLW
Wins 5Goals 17-15

Biggest win 3-0

Dynamo

Recent
LWDDWL
Wins 2Goals 15-17

Biggest win 5-2

  • Spartak Moscow1-0Dynamo
  • Dynamo5-2Spartak Moscow
  • Spartak Moscow1-1Dynamo
  • Dynamo2-2Spartak Moscow
  • Dynamo2-0Spartak Moscow
  • Spartak Moscow2-1Dynamo
  • Dynamo0-1Spartak Moscow
  • Dynamo2-3Spartak Moscow
  • Spartak Moscow2-2Dynamo
  • Spartak Moscow3-0Dynamo

Managers

Juan Carcedo

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Rolan Gusev

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.