AD Marco 09 v Guimaraes B: the model read
AD Marco 09 meet Guimaraes B in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round promotion round - 5 at Estádio Municipal do Marco de Canaveses, Marco de Canaveses. The model makes Guimaraes B the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 30% AD , 32% draw, 38% GUI.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 53%. Attacking output favors Guimaraes B on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 41%, over 2.5 goals around 36%. Draw no bet leans Guimaraes B at 56%; double chance reads AD Marco 09 or draw 62%, Guimaraes B or draw 70%.
AD Marco 09 arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ União de Leiria, D 2-2 @ Paredes, W 1-0 v SC Braga B, W 1-0 v Fafe.
Guimaraes B are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Chaves, L 1-3 v Amarante, D 1-1 @ Trofense, L 0-2 v Mafra.
Guimaraes B hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Guimaraes B 1-0 AD Marco 09.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
