Amora v Fátima: the model read
Amora meet Fátima in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round promotion round - 3 at Estádio da Medideira, Amora. The model makes Fátima the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 30% AMO, 33% draw, 37% FÁT.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 38% against 43%. Attacking output favors Fátima on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 34%, over 2.5 goals around 27%. Draw no bet leans Fátima at 55%; double chance reads Amora or draw 63%, Fátima or draw 70%.
Amora arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ SC Covilha, L 1-2 v Lusitano Évora 1911, W 1-0 @ 1º Dezembro, L 1-2 v Caldas.
Fátima are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Benfica Castelo Branco, W 3-0 @ Eléctrico, D 2-2 v Vitória de Sernache, L 0-2 v Oliveira Hospital.
Amora hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Fátima 1-2 Amora.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
