Esteghlal FC v Aluminium Arak: the model read
Esteghlal FC meet Aluminium Arak in the Persian Gulf Pro League regular season - 28 at Azadi Stadium, Teheran. The model makes Esteghlal FC the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% EST, 37% draw, 24% ALU.
Esteghlal FC rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1582 to 1407. Recent form leans Esteghlal FC, 62% against 39%. Attacking output favors Esteghlal FC on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 14%, over 2.5 goals around 10%. Draw no bet leans Esteghlal FC at 61%; double chance reads Esteghlal FC or draw 76%, Aluminium Arak or draw 62%.
Esteghlal FC arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Fajr Sepasi, W 1-0 @ Mes Rafsanjan, L 2-3 @ Al Hussein, L 0-1 v Al Hussein.
Aluminium Arak are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 3 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Paykan, D 0-0 @ Shams Azar Qazvin, W 1-0 v ZOB Ahan, D 1-1 @ Esteghlal Khuzestan.
Esteghlal FC hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 0 with 4 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Esteghlal FC 3-1 Aluminium Arak.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
