Itabaiana U20 v Carmopolis U20

Itabaiana U20 meet Carmopolis U20 in the Sergipano U20 1st phase - 8 at Estádio Etelvino Mendonça, Itabaiana, Sergipe. The model makes Itabaiana U20 the most likely outcome at 52%, with the full read 52% ITA, 25% draw, 23% CAR.

The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Itabaiana U20, 46% against 31%. Attacking output favors Itabaiana U20 on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 76%, over 2.5 goals around 91%. Draw no bet leans Itabaiana U20 at 69%; double chance reads Itabaiana U20 or draw 77%, Carmopolis U20 or draw 48%.

Itabaiana U20 arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 11 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Falcon U20, W 4-1 v Carmopolis U20, L 2-3 @ Falcon U20, L 1-2 v AD Confiança U20.

Carmopolis U20 are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 8 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Itabaiana U20, L 0-4 @ Falcon U20, L 2-5 v Sergipe U20, W 4-0 v Dorense U20.

Itabaiana U20 hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Itabaiana U20 4-1 Carmopolis U20.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.