Itabaiana U20 v Guarany SE U20: the model read
Itabaiana U20 meet Guarany SE U20 in the Sergipano U20 1st phase - 3 at Estádio Etelvino Mendonça, Itabaiana, Sergipe. The model makes Itabaiana U20 the most likely outcome at 46%, with the full read 46% ITA, 27% draw, 27% GUA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Itabaiana U20, 46% against 25%. Attacking output favors Itabaiana U20 on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 73%, over 2.5 goals around 82%. Draw no bet leans Itabaiana U20 at 63%; double chance reads Itabaiana U20 or draw 73%, Guarany SE U20 or draw 54%.
Itabaiana U20 arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 11 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Falcon U20, W 4-1 v Carmopolis U20, L 2-3 @ Falcon U20, L 1-2 v AD Confiança U20.
Guarany SE U20 are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Falcon U20, W 2-0 @ Dorense U20, W 5-0 @ Barra SE U20, L 0-2 v América de Propriá U20.
Itabaiana U20 hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Itabaiana U20 4-1 Guarany SE U20.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output