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CONCACAF Gold Cup · Group Stage - 3 · World

Canada v El Salvador

2-0Full time· Shell Energy Stadium, Houston, Texas· Referee: Joe Dickerson

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Canada v El Salvador: the model read

Canada meet El Salvador in the CONCACAF Gold Cup group stage - 3 at Shell Energy Stadium, Houston, Texas.

Canada rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1431. Recent form leans Canada, 65% against 40%. Attacking output favors Canada on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.8 per match.

Canada arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Morocco, W 1-0 @ South Africa, L 1-2 @ Switzerland, W 6-0 v Qatar.

El Salvador are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Club Tijuana, L 0-3 @ Los Angeles FC, W 3-0 @ Los Angeles Galaxy, D 0-0 @ Qatar.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

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Canada

DWLWL9-8-3

Scored 1.55 · Conceded 0.60 · Clean sheets 60% · BTTS 30%

  • LHMorocco0-3
  • WASouth Africa1-0
  • LASwitzerland1-2
  • WHQatar6-0
  • DHBosnia & Herzegovina1-1

El Salvador

LDWLD5-6-9

Scored 0.80 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 25%

  • DAClub Tijuana2-2
  • LALos Angeles FC0-3
  • WALos Angeles Galaxy3-0
  • DAQatar0-0
  • LASouth Korea0-1

Managers

J. Marsch

USA · 52

In charge since 2024 · 6 teams managed

  • Leeds United2022–2023
  • RB Leipzig2021–2021
  • Salzburg2019–2021
  • New York RB2015–2018

H. Gómez

Colombia · 69

In charge since 2025 · 9 teams managed

  • Águilas Doradas2024–2024
  • Junior2023–2023
  • Honduras2021–2022
  • Independiente Medellín2020–2021

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.