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CONCACAF Gold Cup · Group Stage - 3 · World

USA v Haiti

2-1Full time· AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas· Referee: Katia Itzel García

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Match analysisPre-match brief

USA v Haiti: the model read

USA meet Haiti in the CONCACAF Gold Cup group stage - 3 at AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas.

The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans USA, 60% against 45%. Attacking output favors USA on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.6 per match.

USA arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 v Belgium, W 2-0 v Bosnia & Herzegovina, L 2-3 @ Türkiye, W 2-0 v Australia.

Haiti are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 @ Morocco, L 0-3 @ Brazil, L 0-1 v Scotland, L 1-2 v Peru.

USA hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: USA 2-1 Haiti.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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USA

WWLWL11-2-7

Scored 1.85 · Conceded 1.55 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 70%

  • LHBelgium1-4
  • WHBosnia & Herzegovina2-0
  • LATürkiye2-3
  • WHAustralia2-0
  • WHParaguay4-1

Haiti

WLLLL7-4-9

Scored 1.55 · Conceded 1.35 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 35%

  • LAMorocco2-4
  • LABrazil0-3
  • LHScotland0-1
  • LHPeru1-2
  • WHNew Zealand4-0

Head-to-head

3 meetings

USArecordHaiti
3
0
0 draws

Goals

4-1

for each

Avg goals

1.7

per game

BTTS

33%

both scored

Over 2.5

33%

3+ goals

USA

Recent
WWW
Wins 3Goals 4-1

Biggest win 2-1

Haiti

Recent
LLL
Wins 0Goals 1-4
  • USA2-1Haiti
  • USA1-0Haiti
  • USA1-0Haiti

Managers

Mauricio Pochettino

Head coach

In charge since 2026

S. Migné

France · 53

In charge since 2024 · 5 teams managed

  • Marumo Gallants2021–2021
  • Kenya2018–2019
  • Congo2017–2017
  • Congo DR U212013–2013

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.