Tuna Luso v Águia de Marabá: the model read
Tuna Luso meet Águia de Marabá in the Copa Grão Pará final at Estádio Estadual Jornalista Edgar Augusto Proença, Belém, Pará. The model makes Águia de Marabá the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 29% TUN, 28% draw, 43% ÁGU.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1615, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Águia de Marabá, 65% against 50%. Attacking output favors Águia de Marabá on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 66%, over 2.5 goals around 71%. Draw no bet leans Águia de Marabá at 60%; double chance reads Tuna Luso or draw 57%, Águia de Marabá or draw 71%.
Tuna Luso arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Iguatu, L 1-2 v Iguatu, L 0-4 @ Imperatriz, W 1-0 v Trem.
Águia de Marabá are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ ABC, W 2-1 v ABC, W 2-0 v Parnahyba, L 1-2 @ Parnahyba.
The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Tuna Luso 2-1 Águia de Marabá.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
