Santos v CRB: the model read
Santos meet CRB in the Copa Do Brasil 3rd round at Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos, São Paulo. The model makes Santos the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 39% SAN, 29% draw, 31% CRB.
The baseline ratings are close, 1528 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 53%. Attacking output favors Santos on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 61%, over 2.5 goals around 61%. Draw no bet leans Santos at 56%; double chance reads Santos or draw 69%, CRB or draw 61%.
Santos arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 14 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 @ UCV, L 1-2 @ Botafogo, W 3-0 v União São João, W 3-1 v Vitoria.
CRB are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Ceara, W 2-1 v Nautico Recife, D 2-2 v Goias, L 0-5 @ Londrina.
CRB hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: CRB 0-0 Santos.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
