Paysandu v Águia de Marabá: the model read
Paysandu meet Águia de Marabá in the Paraense semi-finals at Estádio Estadual Jornalista Edgar Augusto Proença, Belém, Pará. The model makes Paysandu the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% PAY, 28% draw, 36% ÁGU.
The baseline ratings are close, 1604 to 1615, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 65%. Attacking output favors Paysandu on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 75%, over 2.5 goals around 77%. Draw no bet leans Paysandu at 50%; double chance reads Paysandu or draw 64%, Águia de Marabá or draw 64%.
Paysandu arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Guarani Campinas, L 0-1 @ Ypiranga-RS, L 1-3 v Santa Cruz, W 1-0 @ Maranhão.
Águia de Marabá are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ ABC, W 2-1 v ABC, W 2-0 v Parnahyba, L 1-2 @ Parnahyba.
Paysandu hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Águia de Marabá 1-5 Paysandu.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
