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J-League Cup · 2nd Round · Japan

V-varen Nagasaki v Shonan Bellmare

1-2Full time· PEACE STADIUM Connected by SoftBank, Nagasaki· Referee: H. Kasahara

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Match analysisPre-match brief

V-varen Nagasaki v Shonan Bellmare: the model read

V-varen Nagasaki meet Shonan Bellmare in the J-League Cup 2nd round at PEACE STADIUM Connected by SoftBank, Nagasaki.

The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Shonan Bellmare, 48% against 38%. Attacking output favors V-varen Nagasaki on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.

V-varen Nagasaki arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 8 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Vissel Kobe, D 2-2 v Gamba Osaka, L 0-3 v FC Tokyo, W 3-2 v Ehime FC.

Shonan Bellmare are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Vegalta Sendai, D 2-2 @ Omiya Ardija, W 1-0 v Reinmeer Aomori, D 0-0 @ Tegevajaro Miyazaki.

Shonan Bellmare hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: V-varen Nagasaki 1-2 Shonan Bellmare.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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V-varen Nagasaki

LWLDL6-3-11

Scored 1.25 · Conceded 1.80 · Clean sheets 10% · BTTS 65%

  • LAVissel Kobe1-3
  • DHGamba Osaka2-2
  • LHFC Tokyo0-3
  • WHEhime FC3-2
  • LAKashiwa Reysol2-4

Shonan Bellmare

WDWDL7-5-8

Scored 1.10 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 55%

  • LHVegalta Sendai1-3
  • DAOmiya Ardija2-2
  • WHReinmeer Aomori1-0
  • DATegevajaro Miyazaki0-0
  • WHMontedio Yamagata1-0

Head-to-head

10 meetings

V-varen NagasakirecordShonan Bellmare
2
6
2 draws

Goals

9-16

for each

Avg goals

2.5

per game

BTTS

70%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

V-varen Nagasaki

Recent
LLWLDL
Wins 2Goals 9-16

Biggest win 2-1

Shonan Bellmare

Recent
WWLWDW
Wins 6Goals 16-9

Biggest win 3-1

  • V-varen Nagasaki1-2Shonan Bellmare
  • Shonan Bellmare1-0V-varen Nagasaki
  • V-varen Nagasaki2-1Shonan Bellmare
  • V-varen Nagasaki1-3Shonan Bellmare
  • Shonan Bellmare1-1V-varen Nagasaki
  • Shonan Bellmare2-0V-varen Nagasaki
  • V-varen Nagasaki2-1Shonan Bellmare
  • Shonan Bellmare2-1V-varen Nagasaki
  • V-varen Nagasaki0-2Shonan Bellmare
  • Shonan Bellmare1-1V-varen Nagasaki

Managers

Takuya Takagi

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Tetsu Nagasawa

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.