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World Cup - Qualification Europe · Group Stage - 10 · World

Italy v Norway

1-4Full time· San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan· Referee: A. Hernandez

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Italy v Norway: the model read

Italy meet Norway in the World Cup - Qualification Europe group stage - 10 at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan.

The baseline ratings are close, 1673 to 1707, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 73% against 78%. Attacking output favors Norway on expected goals, 2.9 to 2.1 per match.

Italy arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Greece, W 1-0 @ Luxembourg, D 1-1 @ Bosnia & Herzegovina, W 2-0 v Northern Ireland.

Norway are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v England, W 2-1 @ Brazil, W 2-1 @ Ivory Coast, L 1-4 v France.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Italy

LWDWW13-3-4

Scored 2.15 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 55%

  • WAGreece1-0
  • WALuxembourg1-0
  • DABosnia & Herzegovina1-1
  • WHNorthern Ireland2-0
  • LHNorway1-4

Norway

WLWWL14-3-3

Scored 2.85 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 70%

  • LHEngland1-2
  • WABrazil2-1
  • WAIvory Coast2-1
  • LHFrance1-4
  • WHSenegal3-2

Managers

L. Spalletti

Italy · 66

In charge since 2023 · 10 teams managed

  • Napoli2021–2023
  • Inter Milan2017–2019
  • Roma2016–2017
  • Zenit2009–2014

S. Solbakken

Norway · 57

In charge since 2021 · 5 teams managed

  • FC Copenhagen2013–2020
  • Wolverhampton Wanderers2012–2013
  • FC Cologne2011–2012
  • FC Copenhagen2006–2011

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.