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World Cup - Qualification Europe · Group Stage - 9 · World

Poland v Netherlands

1-1Full time· PGE Narodowy, Warsaw· Referee: M. Mariani

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Poland v Netherlands: the model read

Poland meet Netherlands in the World Cup - Qualification Europe group stage - 9 at PGE Narodowy, Warsaw.

The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1661, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Netherlands, 75% against 55%. Attacking output favors Netherlands on expected goals, 2.6 to 1.6 per match.

Poland arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Nigeria, L 0-2 v Ukraine, L 2-3 @ Sweden, W 2-1 v Albania.

Netherlands are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 13 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Morocco, W 3-1 @ Tunisia, W 5-1 v Sweden, D 2-2 v Japan.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Poland

WWLLD9-4-7

Scored 1.60 · Conceded 1.55 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 65%

  • DHNigeria2-2
  • LHUkraine0-2
  • LASweden2-3
  • WHAlbania2-1
  • WAMalta3-2

Netherlands

WDWWD11-8-1

Scored 2.65 · Conceded 0.95 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 65%

  • DHMorocco1-1
  • WATunisia3-1
  • WHSweden5-1
  • DHJapan2-2
  • WHUzbekistan2-1

Managers

J. Urban

Poland · 63

In charge since 2025 · 8 teams managed

  • Górnik Zabrze2023–2025
  • Górnik Zabrze2021–2022
  • Slask Wroclaw2017–2018
  • Lech Poznań2015–2016

R. Koeman

Netherlands · 62

In charge since 2023 · 11 teams managed

  • Barcelona2020–2021
  • Netherlands2018–2020
  • Everton2016–2017
  • Southampton2014–2016

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.