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World Cup - Qualification Europe · Group Stage - 9 · World

France v Ukraine

4-0Full time· Parc des Princes, Paris· Referee: S. Vincic

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Match analysisPre-match brief

France v Ukraine: the model read

France meet Ukraine in the World Cup - Qualification Europe group stage - 9 at Parc des Princes, Paris.

France rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1719 to 1535. Recent form leans France, 78% against 53%. Attacking output favors France on expected goals, 2.5 to 1.5 per match.

France arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 10 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 4-6 v England, L 0-2 v Spain, W 2-0 v Morocco, W 1-0 @ Paraguay.

Ukraine are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Denmark, W 2-0 @ Poland, W 1-0 v Albania, L 1-3 v Sweden.

France hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: France 4-0 Ukraine.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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France

WWWLL15-1-4

Scored 2.55 · Conceded 1.20 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 55%

  • LHEngland4-6
  • LHSpain0-2
  • WHMorocco2-0
  • WAParaguay1-0
  • WHSweden3-0

Ukraine

WLWWL9-3-8

Scored 1.50 · Conceded 1.65 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 65%

  • LADenmark1-2
  • WAPoland2-0
  • WHAlbania1-0
  • LHSweden1-3
  • WHIceland2-0

Head-to-head

6 meetings

FrancerecordUkraine
4
0
2 draws

Goals

17-3

for each

Avg goals

3.3

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

33%

3+ goals

France

Recent
WWDDWW
Wins 4Goals 17-3

Biggest win 7-1

Ukraine

Recent
LLDDLL
Wins 0Goals 3-17
  • France4-0Ukraine
  • Ukraine0-2France
  • Ukraine1-1France
  • France1-1Ukraine
  • France7-1Ukraine
  • Ukraine0-2France

Managers

D. Deschamps

France · 57

In charge since 2012 · 4 teams managed

  • Marseille2009–2012
  • Juventus2006–2007
  • Monaco2001–2005

S. Rebrov

Ukraine · 51

In charge since 2023 · 5 teams managed

  • Ukraine2022–2026
  • Al Ain2021–2023
  • Ferencváros2018–2021
  • Al Ahli2017–2018

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.