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World Cup - Qualification Europe · Group Stage - 8 · World

Italy v Israel

3-0Full time· Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli, Udine· Referee: C. Turpin

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Italy v Israel: the model read

Italy meet Israel in the World Cup - Qualification Europe group stage - 8 at Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli, Udine.

Italy rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1500. Recent form leans Italy, 73% against 48%. Attacking output favors Italy on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.6 per match.

Italy arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Greece, W 1-0 @ Luxembourg, D 1-1 @ Bosnia & Herzegovina, W 2-0 v Northern Ireland.

Israel are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Albania, D 2-2 @ Georgia, W 4-1 v Moldova, D 0-0 @ Lithuania.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Italy

LWDWW13-3-4

Scored 2.15 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 55%

  • WAGreece1-0
  • WALuxembourg1-0
  • DABosnia & Herzegovina1-1
  • WHNorthern Ireland2-0
  • LHNorway1-4

Israel

LDWDW8-3-9

Scored 1.60 · Conceded 1.90 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 50%

  • WAAlbania1-0
  • DAGeorgia2-2
  • WHMoldova4-1
  • DALithuania0-0
  • LAItaly0-3

Managers

L. Spalletti

Italy · 66

In charge since 2023 · 10 teams managed

  • Napoli2021–2023
  • Inter Milan2017–2019
  • Roma2016–2017
  • Zenit2009–2014

R. Ben Shimon

Israel · 55

In charge since 2024 · 8 teams managed

  • AEK Larnaca2023–2024
  • Ashdod2020–2023
  • Cyprus2017–2020
  • Ashdod2017–2017

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.