Vaughan Azzurri v Burlington: the model read
Vaughan Azzurri meet Burlington in the League 1 Ontario regular season - 12 at North Maple Regional Park Turf 1, Vaughan, Ontario. The model makes Vaughan Azzurri the most likely outcome at 46%, with the full read 46% VAU, 27% draw, 28% BUR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Vaughan Azzurri, 53% against 40%. Attacking output favors Vaughan Azzurri on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 73%, over 2.5 goals around 82%. Draw no bet leans Vaughan Azzurri at 62%; double chance reads Vaughan Azzurri or draw 72%, Burlington or draw 54%.
Vaughan Azzurri arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Burlington, L 0-1 @ North Toronto Nitros, W 2-0 @ Burlington, W 4-0 v Woodbridge Strikers.
Burlington are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Vaughan Azzurri, L 0-2 v Vaughan Azzurri, W 3-2 v North Toronto Nitros, L 2-3 @ North Toronto Nitros.
Vaughan Azzurri hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Vaughan Azzurri 4-0 Burlington.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output