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League 1 Ontario · Regular Season - 12 · Canada

Alliance United v St. Catharines Wolves

3-2Full time· Centennial College Turf, Scarborough, Ontario

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Alliance United v St. Catharines Wolves: the model read

Alliance United meet St. Catharines Wolves in the League 1 Ontario regular season - 12 at Centennial College Turf, Scarborough, Ontario. The model makes Alliance United the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% ALL, 26% draw, 32% ST..

The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Alliance United, 63% against 53%. Attacking output favors Alliance United on expected goals, 2.1 to 2.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 89%, over 2.5 goals around 93%. Draw no bet leans Alliance United at 56%; double chance reads Alliance United or draw 68%, St. Catharines Wolves or draw 59%.

Alliance United arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v St. Catharines Wolves, W 1-0 @ Simcoe County Rovers, W 4-3 @ St. Catharines Wolves, D 1-1 @ Blue Devils.

St. Catharines Wolves are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 11 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Alliance United, L 3-4 v Alliance United, D 1-1 @ FC London, D 2-2 v Scrosoppi.

Alliance United hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Alliance United 3-2 St. Catharines Wolves.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Alliance United

LDWWW10-5-5

Scored 2.15 · Conceded 1.65 · Clean sheets 10% · BTTS 70%

  • WHSt. Catharines Wolves3-2
  • WASimcoe County Rovers1-0
  • WASt. Catharines Wolves4-3
  • DABlue Devils1-1
  • LAWoodbridge Strikers0-1

St. Catharines Wolves

WDDLL7-7-6

Scored 2.10 · Conceded 2.00 · Clean sheets 5% · BTTS 90%

  • LAAlliance United2-3
  • LHAlliance United3-4
  • DAFC London1-1
  • DHScrosoppi2-2
  • WHFC London3-1

Head-to-head

4 meetings

Alliance UnitedrecordSt. Catharines Wolves
4
0
0 draws

Goals

11-5

for each

Avg goals

4.0

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

75%

3+ goals

Alliance United

Recent
WWWW
Wins 4Goals 11-5

Biggest win 3-0

St. Catharines Wolves

Recent
LLLL
Wins 0Goals 5-11
  • Alliance United3-2St. Catharines Wolves
  • St. Catharines Wolves3-4Alliance United
  • Alliance United3-0St. Catharines Wolves
  • St. Catharines Wolves0-1Alliance United

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.