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Jupiler Pro League · Conference League Play-off Group - 1 · Belgium

OH Leuven v Charleroi

0-0Full time· King Power at Den Dreef Stadion, Heverlee· Referee: B. Put

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Match analysisPre-match brief

OH Leuven v Charleroi: the model read

OH Leuven meet Charleroi in the Jupiler Pro League conference league play-off group - 1 at King Power at Den Dreef Stadion, Heverlee. The model makes OH Leuven the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% OH , 30% draw, 32% CHA.

The baseline ratings are close, 1468 to 1432, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 39%. Attacking output favors OH Leuven on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.2 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 57%, over 2.5 goals around 55%. Draw no bet leans OH Leuven at 55%; double chance reads OH Leuven or draw 68%, Charleroi or draw 62%.

OH Leuven arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 11 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 4-4 @ Heerenveen, L 0-3 @ Club Brugge II, W 1-0 v K. Lierse S.K., W 5-1 v Lommel United.

Charleroi are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Lens, L 1-3 @ Feyenoord, D 2-2 v Reims, W 2-0 @ Standard Liege.

OH Leuven hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Charleroi 1-1 OH Leuven.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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OH Leuven

DWWLD6-5-8

Scored 1.58 · Conceded 1.42 · Clean sheets 31.6% · BTTS 36.8%

  • DAHeerenveen4-4
  • LAClub Brugge II0-3
  • WHK. Lierse S.K.1-0
  • WHLommel United5-1
  • DAOlympiakos Piraeus1-1

Charleroi

DWDLD5-5-9

Scored 1.21 · Conceded 1.42 · Clean sheets 21.1% · BTTS 57.9%

  • DALens2-2
  • LAFeyenoord1-3
  • DHReims2-2
  • WAStandard Liege2-0
  • DHOH Leuven1-1

Head-to-head

10 meetings

OH LeuvenrecordCharleroi
3
2
5 draws

Goals

10-8

for each

Avg goals

1.8

per game

BTTS

40%

both scored

Over 2.5

20%

3+ goals

OH Leuven

Recent
DLWDLD
Wins 3Goals 10-8

Biggest win 2-0

Charleroi

Recent
DWLDWD
Wins 2Goals 8-10

Biggest win 2-0

  • Charleroi1-1OH Leuven
  • OH Leuven0-2Charleroi
  • Charleroi0-2OH Leuven
  • OH Leuven2-2Charleroi
  • Charleroi2-1OH Leuven
  • OH Leuven0-0Charleroi
  • OH Leuven1-0Charleroi
  • Charleroi0-2OH Leuven
  • OH Leuven0-0Charleroi
  • Charleroi1-1OH Leuven

Managers

D. Hubert

Belgium · 37

In charge since 2025 · 2 clubs managed

  • Anderlecht2024–2025

R. Demil

Belgium · 44

In charge since 2024 · 5 clubs managed

  • Westerlo2023–2024
  • Club Brugge2023–2023
  • Club Brugge U192018–2022
  • Club Brugge II2018–2022

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.