Esteghlal FC v Paykan: the model read
Esteghlal FC meet Paykan in the Hazfi Cup quarter-finals at Azadi Stadium, Teheran. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 36% EST, 38% draw, 26% PAY.
The baseline ratings are close, 1582 to 1468, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Esteghlal FC, 62% against 45%. Attacking output favors Esteghlal FC on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 15%, over 2.5 goals around 9%. Draw no bet leans Esteghlal FC at 58%; double chance reads Esteghlal FC or draw 74%, Paykan or draw 64%.
Esteghlal FC arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Fajr Sepasi, W 1-0 @ Mes Rafsanjan, L 2-3 @ Al Hussein, L 0-1 v Al Hussein.
Paykan are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 2 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Sepahan FC, D 1-1 @ Aluminium Arak, L 0-2 v Mes Rafsanjan, L 0-2 @ Chadormalu SC.
Esteghlal FC hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Paykan 1-0 Esteghlal FC.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
