Desportiva ES v Linhares: the model read
Desportiva ES meet Linhares in the Copa Espírito Santo 1st phase - 2 at Estádio Engenheiro Alencar Araripe, Cariacica, Espírito Santo. The model makes Desportiva ES the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 39% DES, 31% draw, 30% LIN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1408, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 35%. Attacking output favors Linhares on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 47%, over 2.5 goals around 44%. Draw no bet leans Desportiva ES at 57%; double chance reads Desportiva ES or draw 70%, Linhares or draw 61%.
Desportiva ES arrive steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Sport Recife, D 1-1 @ Vilavelhense, D 1-1 v Vilavelhense, D 1-1 @ Sampaio Corrêa RJ.
Linhares are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Doze, W 2-0 v Audax São Mateus, L 2-3 @ Serra Talhada, L 0-2 v Serra Talhada.
Desportiva ES hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Desportiva ES 2-1 Linhares.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output