Uniao Mogi v Maua: the model read
Uniao Mogi meet Maua in the Paulista Série B 1st phase - 9 at Estádio Municipal Francisco Ribeiro Nogueira, Mogi das Cruzes, São Paulo. The model makes Maua the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 30% UNI, 29% draw, 41% MAU.
Maua rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1569 to 1443. Recent form leans Maua, 60% against 40%. Attacking output favors Maua on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 61%, over 2.5 goals around 63%. Draw no bet leans Maua at 58%; double chance reads Uniao Mogi or draw 59%, Maua or draw 70%.
Uniao Mogi arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Itaquá Athletico Clube, L 1-4 v Itaquá Athletico Clube, W 3-0 @ Maua, L 2-3 v Maua.
Maua are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 10 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Uniao Mogi, W 3-2 @ Uniao Mogi, W 6-0 v Barcelona EC, L 1-5 @ Itaquá Athletico Clube.
Maua hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Maua 0-3 Uniao Mogi.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output