Uniao Mogi v Manthiqueira: the model read
Uniao Mogi meet Manthiqueira in the Paulista Série B 1st phase - 7 at Estádio Municipal Francisco Ribeiro Nogueira, Mogi das Cruzes, São Paulo. The model makes Uniao Mogi the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% UNI, 29% draw, 34% MAN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 40%. Attacking output favors Uniao Mogi on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 64%, over 2.5 goals around 63%. Draw no bet leans Uniao Mogi at 52%; double chance reads Uniao Mogi or draw 66%, Manthiqueira or draw 64%.
Uniao Mogi arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Itaquá Athletico Clube, L 1-4 v Itaquá Athletico Clube, W 3-0 @ Maua, L 2-3 v Maua.
Manthiqueira are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ José Bonifácio, L 0-2 v José Bonifácio, W 2-1 v Mauaense, W 5-1 @ Barcelona EC.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Uniao Mogi 1-0 Manthiqueira.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
