Uniao Mogi v Mauaense: the model read
Uniao Mogi meet Mauaense in the Paulista Série B 1st phase - 1 at Estádio Municipal Francisco Ribeiro Nogueira, Mogi das Cruzes, São Paulo. The model makes Mauaense the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 31% UNI, 31% draw, 37% MAU.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Mauaense, 50% against 40%. Attacking output favors Uniao Mogi on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 49%, over 2.5 goals around 44%. Draw no bet leans Mauaense at 54%; double chance reads Uniao Mogi or draw 63%, Mauaense or draw 69%.
Uniao Mogi arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Itaquá Athletico Clube, L 1-4 v Itaquá Athletico Clube, W 3-0 @ Maua, L 2-3 v Maua.
Mauaense are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Manthiqueira, L 0-1 v Uniao Mogi, W 2-0 @ Barcelona EC, D 1-1 @ Maua.
Mauaense hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Mauaense 0-1 Uniao Mogi.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output