Ponte Preta v Londrina: the model read
Ponte Preta meet Londrina in the Serie C regular season - 19 at Estádio Moisés Lucarelli, Campinas. The model makes Londrina the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 25% PON, 31% draw, 44% LON.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Londrina, 40% against 20%. Attacking output favors Londrina on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 35%, over 2.5 goals around 38%. Draw no bet leans Londrina at 64%; double chance reads Ponte Preta or draw 56%, Londrina or draw 75%.
Ponte Preta arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 2 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Goias, L 1-2 v Criciuma, L 0-2 @ Fortaleza EC, L 0-2 @ Atletico Goianiense.
Londrina are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 10 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Botafogo SP, D 1-1 @ America Mineiro, W 5-0 v CRB, D 2-2 @ Cuiaba.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
