Figueirense v Floresta: the model read
Figueirense meet Floresta in the Serie C regular season - 18 at Estádio Orlando Scarpelli, Florianópolis, Santa Catarina. The model makes Figueirense the most likely outcome at 34%, with the full read 34% FIG, 34% draw, 32% FLO.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 45%. Attacking output favors Figueirense on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 32%, over 2.5 goals around 24%. Draw no bet leans Figueirense at 52%; double chance reads Figueirense or draw 68%, Floresta or draw 66%.
Figueirense arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Volta Redonda, L 1-3 @ Brusque, D 1-1 v Guarani Campinas, D 0-0 @ Ituano.
Floresta are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Caxias, D 0-0 @ Guarani Campinas, W 2-1 v Barra, L 1-2 @ Brusque.
Figueirense hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Floresta 1-2 Figueirense.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
