Figueirense v Maringá: the model read
Figueirense meet Maringá in the Serie C regular season - 16 at Estádio Orlando Scarpelli, Florianópolis, Santa Catarina. The model makes Maringá the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 28% FIG, 29% draw, 44% MAR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1601, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Maringá, 63% against 48%. Attacking output favors Maringá on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 61%, over 2.5 goals around 66%. Draw no bet leans Maringá at 61%; double chance reads Figueirense or draw 56%, Maringá or draw 72%.
Figueirense arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Volta Redonda, L 1-3 @ Brusque, D 1-1 v Guarani Campinas, D 0-0 @ Ituano.
Maringá are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Anápolis, W 4-0 v Volta Redonda, D 2-2 @ Inter De Limeira, D 1-1 @ Caxias.
Maringá hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Figueirense 1-3 Maringá.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
