Figueirense v Nautico Recife: the model read
Figueirense meet Nautico Recife in the Serie C regular season - 12 at Estádio Orlando Scarpelli, Florianópolis, Santa Catarina. The model makes Nautico Recife the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 33% FIG, 32% draw, 35% NAU.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 43%. Attacking output favors Nautico Recife on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 45%, over 2.5 goals around 38%. Draw no bet leans Nautico Recife at 51%; double chance reads Figueirense or draw 65%, Nautico Recife or draw 67%.
Figueirense arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Volta Redonda, L 1-3 @ Brusque, D 1-1 v Guarani Campinas, D 0-0 @ Ituano.
Nautico Recife are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Londrina, L 1-2 @ CRB, L 0-2 @ Avai, D 0-0 v Juventude.
Nautico Recife hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Figueirense 0-0 Nautico Recife.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
