Figueirense v Confiança: the model read
Figueirense meet Confiança in the Serie C regular season - 10 at Estádio Orlando Scarpelli, Florianópolis, Santa Catarina. The model makes Figueirense the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% FIG, 34% draw, 29% CON.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Figueirense, 48% against 30%. Attacking output favors Figueirense on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 28%, over 2.5 goals around 20%. Draw no bet leans Figueirense at 56%; double chance reads Figueirense or draw 71%, Confiança or draw 63%.
Figueirense arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Volta Redonda, L 1-3 @ Brusque, D 1-1 v Guarani Campinas, D 0-0 @ Ituano.
Confiança are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Botafogo PB, L 1-2 v Barra, D 1-1 @ Ypiranga-RS, W 2-0 v Guarani Campinas.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 5 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Confiança 0-0 Figueirense.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
